GCPP2026 - The Salata Institute

CBAM Response and Coalition Navigator

This decision support tool helps governments evaluate domestic policy options and the benefits of joining or shaping carbon pricing coalitions.

EU CBAM Climate coalition

The navigator simulates a coalition based on the signatories to the Open Coalition on Compliance Carbon Markets as of November 2025.

Countries:

Andorra, Armenia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, France, Germany, Guinea, European Union, Mexico, Monaco, New Zealand, Norway, Rwanda, Singapore, United Kingdom, Zambia

Country:

Indonesia

Select EU Carbon Price and Scope of Emissions

Select the relevant EU price and scope of emissions for this scenario, with options representing the effective price once free allowances factored in. All Sectors includes steel, aluminum, cement, and fertilizers.

Current rules: $30/t: mixed scopes

$30/t represents the effective price per ton of CO₂ covered under the EU ETS across these four sectors in 2025, after accounting for free allowance allocations.

“Mixed scopes” signifies scope 1 for aluminum and steel, and scopes 1 and 2 for cement and fertilizers.

$30/t: Scopes 1+2 all sectors $75/t: Scopes 1+2 all sectors $120/t: Scopes 1+2 all sectors

Current baseline trajectory, assuming no additional policy or technology changes.

Select Coalition Design

Uniform Price

All member countries adopt the same carbon price floor.

Graduated Price

Carbon price floors vary by level of income, with tiers for (1) lower-middle-income and low-income countries (LIC/LMIC), (2) upper-middle-income countries (UMIC), and (3) high-income countries (HIC), according to the World Bank Group income classifications.

Select Coalition Graduated Carbon Price Floors

$10/t; $20/t; $30/t $25/t; $50/t; $75/t $40/t; $80/t; $120/t

Select Coalition Uniform Carbon Price Floor

$20/t $50/t $80/t

View By

Select Breakdown

By Sector By Member/Nonmember By Income

Select Sector

Global plant-level emissions and production data are from Climate TRACE for steel, cement, and ammonia (which we use as a proxy for nitrogenous fertilizers). For aluminum, input costs, production, and emissions data come from Wood Mackenzie and are supplemented with data on secondary aluminum production from the World Bureau of Metal Statistics. Input costs for steel come from TransitionZero’s Global Steel Cost Tracker. Country-level trade data is from UN Comtrade. For Indonesia specifically, ammonia plant-level data were compiled from Pupuk Indonesia reports. Auxiliary price and cost inputs draw on the IEA, BloombergNEF, the World Bank Pink Sheet, Refinitiv Workspace, and Mission Possible Partnership. Data on existing carbon prices come from the World Bank Carbon Pricing Dashboard. The reference year for all data is 2023 and dollar values are in 2023 USD.

Aggregate Steel Aluminum Cement Fertilizers

Read the GCPP flagship report: Building a Climate Coalition: Aligning Carbon Pricing, Trade, and Development.